台灣戰爭史回顧(444)

 

根本不可能打「臺灣」的17個理由!!

 

一、 打下了臺灣,那不就會讓國內的關注點回到了中國國內的吏治腐敗、政治改革的問題上,那不是搬石頭砸自己的腳嗎???(嘿嘿!!古有中國人有明訓,這叫養寇自重,使不得。)

 

二、 真要開戰,解放軍的高階軍官日子就難過了,放著現在出入有好車,夜夜笙歌的好日子不過,幹嘛沒事找事??(嘿嘿!!那不是證明自己不是只領錢不幹事,解放軍猛吹自己日夜備戰的鬼話,你也信??)

 

三、 如果真要開戰,肯定要與美國翻臉的,與全世界結仇,你們猜猜,現在多少高官顯貴的子女在美國啊!!有多少資產在美國啊,萬一美國凍結了這些人在美的資產,那可怎麼得了。(嘿嘿!!美國佬可不是沒有幹過這件事。)

 

四、 咱們中國買了多少美國人的國債啊,查一查,會嚇死人的,一打,這些全沒了。(嘿嘿!!這當中可是多少人盼著靠這發筆橫財的。美國可是藉口打戰仗,然後賴帳的前科犯喔!)

 

五、 中國過了這麼多年窮日子,好不容易現在把外資騙來了,好多地方終於富了。就算多數地方沒富的,地方官員也富了。一打,現在的好日子可就沒了啊!!(嘿嘿!!看看現在上海、北京的白領,那個不是顧著自己的好日子,誰要讓他們作點犧牲,他們就跟誰急,連要設立「准入戶口制度」的話,都能講的出口。)

 

六、 現在很多當兵的,都是老百姓送錢進去的小皇帝,這也不是公開的秘密了。他們圖的是戰死、殺場或精忠報國嗎??(嘿嘿!!打死俺,俺也不信,你會信嗎?)

 

七、 以前解放軍打蔣軍,能贏,這是中國農民弟兄一致支援、擁護,加上解放軍能底氣足、打的起人民戰爭,可是,現在還能嗎??(嘿嘿!!你看,劉亞洲寫的那篇伊拉克傻達姆為什麼戰敗的原因?檢討倒是說了真話!!)

 

八、 紅色門牌的鄰居們(北韓、越南等),死的死,散的散!現在就剩搖搖欲墜的金二王朝與遙在天邊的卡斯楚,真打起來,能邀來助拳的鐵杆兄弟有幾個???(嘿嘿!!咱對面的那個兄弟(台灣)可美了,明擺的,有世界霸主支援,還有個與咱素來不睦的小日本暗中頻送秋波。)

 

九、咱溫家寶總理天天叼叼念念的,就是要房市降溫,要軟著陸,千萬不要硬著陸。而先別說打,真有風吹草動,外資全跑了,那就不是硬著陸了,是鐵著陸了。對出什麼亂子真是不敢想。(嘿嘿!!光是現在要壓著人民幣不升值,中央就頭大的很了,左憤青們不為中央分憂解勞,還頻出餿主意,不是是何居心。)

 

十、 現在所有的石油有八成是外購,全需要從臺灣海峽通過,而全國的戰略儲油不到14日,一但真打,油路肯定被封,沒了油還打什麼。(嘿嘿!!這年頭打仗的是整體國力啊!!沒了油,那可就像沒吃飯般,怎麼上陣、打仗啊!!)

 

十一、 臺灣與咱們的貿易依存度創新高,而臺灣是咱們許多產業關鍵零元件的主要來源。一但開打,來源斷絕,生產線全關,那麼多的下崗工人可會出大亂子的。(嘿嘿!!左憤青大概不知道多數號稱中國制的產品,關鍵零元件都是外面運進來的吧。)

 

十二、 咱們是個加工出口型的國家,主要的外銷國就是美、日。真翻了臉,剩下少數能造出的產品也賣不出去,又是一大批人下崗,這可怎麼得了。(嘿嘿!!填飽肚子,才是這些工人心中最重要的事吧。)

十三、 打也要有幾成把握才能打,解放軍現在武器數量與質量佔有優勢嗎??(嘿嘿!!不久前俺幾篇談軍事的大作,才剛掀了他們的老底,還被罵了嘞!)

 

十四、 萬一攻台一時三刻打不下來,沒法子馬上渡海,結束戰爭。拖越久,國內的問題與矛盾越可能會全爆出來。到時候可是內外夾攻,萬分兇險啊!!(嘿嘿!!怎麼可能會不知道事情的後果呢!!)

 

十五、 台軍會不會作困獸之鬥,這沒打誰都不知?但是就算咱打贏了,美、日拉不下這臉,也一定會以長時間的禁運與經濟制裁,來對付咱們,現在的太平日子裏,社會都問題一堆了,真要被禁運或制裁,那可是會大亂的。(嘿嘿!!左憤青,別說你不上街,看不到這些問題。)

 

十六、 萬一中的萬一,咱打輸了。俺的日子可能苦一點,但是還是照過,但是某些領導恐怕位子就坐不住了。下得台來可是會有另一番腥風血雨的。(嘿嘿!!真要打,那對某些領導來說,真就是豪賭了!!套句賭神說的話:這下是全梭了。放著現在長久作莊,一家獨贏的好局面,實在沒道理賭這一把!!)

 

十七、 最後一點,也是最重要的一點,上意與民心同嗎??沒有立足于這一點,大軍開出,還得瞅著背後有沒有人放冷槍,可怎麼打仗啊!!!(嘿嘿!!會放冷槍的有多少人俺是說不准,但是眼下貓眼這壇子裏就有一大堆了。)

 

孫子兵法說,兵者,國之大事,死生之地也。他還說打仗前要先廟算,經之以五事。謂道、天、地、將、法。先問問自己「主孰有道、天地孰得、將孰有能、法令孰嚴!!」這就是孫子兵法,千年後依然讓人尊為兵家寶典的原因。左憤青不要只看著打贏能得到什麼,要先上宗廟裏,繞著算籌,算算自己有幾成把握?

 

連山豬都知道:眼中別只看著掛在樹上的肉,想著吃到嘴裏有多麼美。有先看看樹旁是不是有陷井,估量、估量自己有沒有能力吃到這塊肉,不然自己就成了別人桌上的肉了。

 

摘錄:(聯合城管註:本文原本發表於中國的網路論壇,引起極大的迴響,但是最後引起當道不快,最後被封帖刪除。本城管特別徵得原作者同意後,在Google上找出當時被中國網友轉貼到別處的版本,但是原有討論串中,精采的討論已經被救不回了,甚為遺憾。) 
2006/4/8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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